Dr. Adam H. Monahan
Professor
School of Earth and Ocean Sciences
University of Victoria
PO Box 3065 STN CSC
Victoria BC V8W 3V6
Canada
Room A311 Bob Wright Centre
Tel: (250) 472 5075
Fax: (250) 472 4030
email: monahana "at" uvic.ca
Research Interests
Current Post-Doctoral Fellows and Research Associates
- Geoff Stanley (with James Anstey)
- Antoine Haddon (with Nadja Steiner)
Current Graduate and Honours Students
- Susan Beale (BSc)
- Kota Endo (PhD)
- Kiri Daust (MSc)
- Ameneh Mollasharifi (MSc)
- Patrick Farnole (PhD; with Nadja Steiner)
- Ruth Digby (PhD; with Nathan Gillett)
- Jo Laenger (PhD; with Nadja Steiner)
- Raj Deepak (PhD; with Christian Seiler)
Former Graduate Students, Honours Students, and Post-Docs
- Yongxiao Liang (PhD; with Nathan Gillett)
- Nic Annau (MSc; with Alex Cannon)
- Johannes Gemmrich (Research Associate)
- Caio Ruman (MSc; at McGill with Laxmi Sushama)
- Kota Endo (MSc)
- Robert Payne (BSc; with Michael Sigmond and Joey Martin)
- Laura van Vliet (MSc; with Charles Curry)
- Joey Martin (MSc; with Michael Sigmond)
- Elizabeth Ramsey (MSc)
- Isabelle Lao (BSc; with Carsten Abraham)
- Tom Redhead (BSc; with Johannes Gemmrich)
- Brendan Dyck (BSc)
- Carmen Holmes-Smith (BSc)
- Zelalem Engida (PhD; with Debby Ianson)
- Whitney Huang (Post-doc; with Francis Zwiers)
- Carsten Abraham (PhD)
- Arlan Dirkson (PhD; with Bill Merryfield)
- Yiwen Mao (PhD)
- Gerald Lohmann (PhD; at U. Oldenburg)
- Eric Mortenson (PhD; with Nadja Steiner)
- Hakase Hayashida (PhD; with Nadja Steiner)
- Yanping He (Research Associate)
- Sarah Bozoian (BSc Honours)
- Amber Holdsworth (Post-doc)
- Bennit Mueller (MSc; with Nathan Gillett and Francis Zwiers)
- Sarah Maleska (BSc Honours)
- Jeff Daines (MSc; with Charles Curry)
- William Thompson (PhD; at UBC with Rachel Kuske)
- Michael Optis (PhD)
- Tim Rees (Post-doc)
- Robert Fajber (Honours)
- Fei Luo (Honours; with Knut von Salzen)
- Jan-Erik Tesdal (MSc; with Jim Christian and Knut von Salzen)
- Cangjie (Ross) Sun (MSc).
- Aaron Culver (MSc).
- Daniel Godlovitch (PhD; with Greg Flato).
- Mitch Bruce (MSc).
- Kyla Bishop (Honours)
- Laura Bianucci (PhD; with Ken Denman).
- Joel Culina (PhD).
- Julie Alexander (PhD)
- Katie Healey (MSc; with Debby Ianson).
- Qiobin Teng (PhD; with John Fyfe).
Courses Taught
Publications
Meteorology of Near-Surface Winds, Renewable Energy, and Surface Processes
- Endo, K., A.H. Monahan, J. Bessac, H.M. Christensen, and
N. Weitzel: Robustness of the stochastic parameterization of
sub-grid scale wind variability in sea surface fluxes .
Mon. Weath. Rev , under review.
- Lao, I.R., C. Abraham, E.Wiebe,and A.H. Monahan: Temporal
and spatial structure of nocturnal warming events in a midlatitude
coastal city. J. Appl. Clim. Met. , 61 ,
1139-1157, 2022.
link
- Ramsey, E. and A.H. Monahan, Empirical low-dimensional
dynamics of atmospheric stable boundary layer inversions .
J. Atmos. Sci. , 79, 1965-1984, 2022.
link
- Bessac, J., H. Christensen, K. Endo, A.H. Monahan, and
N. Weitzel: Scale-aware space-time stochastic paramterization of
subgrid-scale velocity enhancement of sea surface fluxes.
J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. , 13 , 2021.
link
- Abraham, C. and A.H. Monahan: Spatial dependence of stably
stratified nocturnal boundary layer regime statistics in complex
terrain . Bound. Layer Meteor. , 177 , 19-47,
2020.
link
- Abraham, C., A. Holdsworth, and A.H. Monahan: A prototype stochastic
parameterization of regime behavior in the stably stratified
atmospheric boundary layer.
Nonlin. Proc. Geophys, 26 401-427, 2019.
link
- Abraham, C. and A.H. Monahan: Climatological features of the weakly and very
stably stratified nocturnal boundary layers. Part III: The structure
of meteorological state variables in persistent regime nights and
across regime transitions. J. Atmos. Sci., 76 ,
3505-3527, 2019.
link
- Abraham, C. and A.H. Monahan: Climatological features of the weakly and very
stably stratified nocturnal boundary layers. Part II: Regime
occupation and transition statistics and the influence of external
drivers. J. Atmos. Sci., 76 , 3485-3504, 2019.
link
- Abraham, C. and A.H. Monahan: Climatological features of the weakly and very
stably stratified nocturnal boundary layers. Part I: State variables
containing information about regime occupation.
J. Atmos. Sci., 76 , 3455-3484, 2019.
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- Holdsworth, A. and A.H. Monahan: Turbulent collapse and
recovery in the stable boundary layer using an idealized model of
pressure-driven flow with a surface energy budget.
J. Atmos. Sci., 76 , 1307-1327, 2019.
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- He, Y., N.A. McFarlane, and A.H. Monahan: A new TKE-based
parameterization of atmospheric turbulence in the Canadian global
and regional climate models.
J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. , 11 , 1153-1188, 2019.
link
- Sommerfeld, M., C. Crawford, A.H. Monahan, and I. Bastigkeit:
LiDAR-based characterization of mid-altitude wind
conditions for airborne wind energy systems. Wind
Energy , 22, 1101-1120, 2019.
link
- Bessac, J., A.H. Monahan, H.M. Christensen, and N. Weitzel:
Stochastic parameterization of subrid-scale velocity enhancement of sea surface
fluxes. Mon. Weath. Rev. , 147 , 1447-1469, 2019.
link
- Monahan, A.H.: Temporal filtering enhances the skewness of
sea surface winds. J. Clim. , 31 , 5695-5706,
2018.
link
- Monahan, A.H.: Idealized models of the joint probability
distribution of wind speeds. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. ,
25 , 335-353, 2018.
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- Mao, Y. and A.H. Monahan: Comparison of linear
predictability of surface wind components from observations with
simulations from RCMs and reanalysis. J. App. Meteo. Clim
, 57 , 889-906, 2018.
link
- Gemmrich, J. and A.H. Monahan: Covariability of
near-surface wind speed statistics and mesoscale sea surface
temperature flutuations.. J. Phys. Oceanogr. , 48
, 465-478, 2018.
link
- Lohmann, G. and A.H. Monahan: Effects of temporal averaging
on short-term irradiance variability under mixed-sky conditions.
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11 , 3131-3144, 2018.
link
- Mao, Y. and A.H. Monahan: Linear and nonlinear regression
prediction of surface wind components. Clim.Dyn., 51
, 3291-3309, 2018.
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- van Hooijdonk, I.G.S., H.J.H. Clercx, C. Abraham,
A.M. Holdsworth, A.H. Monahan, E. Vignon, A.F. Moene, P. Baas, and
B.J.H. van de Wiel: Near-surface temperature inversion growth
rate during the onset of the stable boundary layer .
J. Atmos. Sci., 74 , 3433-3449, 2017.
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- Mao, Y. and A.H.Monahan: Predictive anisotropy of surface
winds by linear statistical downscaling. J. Climate,
30 , 6183-6201, 2017.
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- Lohmann, G., A. Hammer, A.H. Monahan, T. Schmidt, and
D. Heinemann: Simulating clear-sky index increment correlations
under mixed sky conditions using a fractal cloud model.
Solar Energy , 150 , 255-264, 2017.
link
- Optis, M. and A.H. Monahan: A comparison of equilibrium and
time-evolving approaches to modelling the wind profile under stable stratification.
J. Appl. Metor. Clim. , 56 , 1365-1382, 2017.
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- Daines, J.T., A.H.Monahan, and C.L.Curry: Model-based projections and uncertainties of surface wind climate in Western Canada. J. Appl. Meteo. Clim., 55 , 2229-2245, 2016.
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- Holdsworth, A., T. Rees, and A.H. Monahan: Parameterization sensitivity and instability characteristics of the maximum sustainable heat flux framework for predicting turbulent collapse. J. Atmos. Sci., 73 , 3527-3540, 2016.
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- Optis, M. and A.H. Monahan: The extrapolation of
near-surface wind speeds under stable stratification using an
equilibrium-based single-column model approach.
J. Appl. Metor. Clim., 55,923-943, 2016.
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- Lohmann, G.M., A.H. Monahan, and D. Heinemann: Local short-term variability in solar irradiance. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16 , 6365-6379, 2016.
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- Monahan, A.H., T. Rees, Y. He, and N. McFarlane: Multiple
regimes of wind, stratification, and turbulence in the stable
boundary layer. J. Atmos. Sci. , 72, 3178-3198, 2015.
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- Optis, M., A.H. Monahan, and F. Bosveld: Limitations and
breakdown of Monin-Obukhov similarity theory for wind profile
extrapolation under stable stratification. Wind Energy
, 19, 1053-1072, 2015.
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- Doerenkaemper, M., M. Optis, A.H. Monahan, and G. Steinfeld:
On the offshore advection of boundary-layer structures and its
influence on offshore wind conditions. Boundary Layer
Meteor. , 155 , 459-482, 2015.
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- Rees, T. and A.H. Monahan: A general numerical method for
analyzing the linear stability of stratified parallel shear
flows. , J. Atmos. Oc. Tech. , 31 , 2795-2808,
2014.
link
- Optis, M., A.H. Monahan, and F. Bosveld: Moving beyond
Monin-Obukhov similarity theory in modelling wind-speed profiles in
the lower atmospheric boundary layer under stable
stratification, Boundary Layer Meteor., 2014.
link
- Thompson, W.F., A.H. Monahan, and D. Crommelin: Parametric estimation of the stochastic dynamics of sea surface winds, J. Atmos. Sci. , 71 , 3465-3483, 2014.
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- Fajber, R., A.H. Monahan, and W.J. Merryfield: At what time of day do daily extreme near surface wind speeds occur?, J. Climate , 27 , 4226-4244, 2014.
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- Monahan, A.H.: Wind speed probability distribution, Encyclopedia of Natural Resources, 2014.
- He, Y., A.H. Monahan, and N.A. McFarlane: Diurnal variations of land surface wind speed probability distributions under clear-sky and low-cloud conditions , Geophys. Res. Lett. , 40 , doi:10.1002/grl.50575, 2013.
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- Sun, C. and A.H. Monahan: Statistical downscaling prediction of sea surface winds over the global ocean, J. Climate , 26, 7938-7956, 2013.
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- Culver, A.M.R. and A.H. Monahan: The statistical predictability of surface winds over Western and Central Canada, J. Climate , 26 , 8305-8322, 2013.
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- Monahan, A.H.: The Gaussian predictability of wind
speeds, J. Climate , 26 , 5563-5577, 2013.
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- Monahan, A.H.: Temporal autocorrelation structure of sea
surface winds, J. Climate, 25 , 6684-6700, 2012.
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- He, Y., N.A. McFarlane, and A.H. Monahan: The influence of boundary layer processes on the diurnal variation of the land surface wind speed probability distribution. J. Climate , 25 , 6441-6458, 2012.
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- van der Kamp, D., C. Curry, and A.H. Monahan: Statistical downscaling of historical monthly mean winds over a coastal region of complex terrain. II: Predicting wind components. Clim. Dyn., 38 , 1301-1311, 2012.
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- Curry, C., D. van der Kamp, and A.H. Monahan: Statistical downscaling of historical monthly mean winds over a coastal region of complex terrain. I: Predicting wind speed. Clim. Dyn. , 38 , 1281-1299, 2012.
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- Monahan, A.H: Can we see the wind? Statistical downscaling
of historical sea surface winds in the Subarctic Northeast
Pacific. J. Climate , 25 , 1511-1528, 2012.
link
- Monahan, A.H., Y. He, N. McFarlane, and A. Dai: The
probability distribution of land surface wind speeds.
J. Climate 24, 3892-3909, 2011.
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- Monahan, A.H.: The probability distribution of sea surface winds: Effects of variable surface stratification and boundary layer thickness. J. Climate , 23 , 5151-5162, 2010.
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- He, Y., A.H. Monahan, C.G. Jones, A. Dai, D. Caya, S. Biner, and K. Winger: Land surface wind speed probability distributions in North America: Observations and regional climate model evaluations. J. Geophys. Res. , 115 doi:10.1029/2008JD01708, 2010.
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- Monahan, A.H.: Probability distribution of sea surface wind stresses , Geophys. Res. Lett. , 34 , L05704, 2008. doi:10.1029/2007GL032268.
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- Monahan, A.H.: Empirical Models of the Probability Distribution of Sea Surface Wind Speeds , J. Climate , 20, 5798-5814, 2007.
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- Monahan, A.H.: The Probability Distribution of Sea Surface Wind Speeds. Part II: Dataset Intercomparison and Seasonal Variability , J. Climate , 19 , 521-534, 2006.
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- Monahan, A.H.: The Probability Distribution of Sea Surface Wind Speeds. Part I: Theory and SeaWinds Observations , J. Climate , 19 , 497-520, 2006.
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- Monahan, A.H.: Stochastic Dynamics of Sea Surface Winds . Proceedings, Workshop on Representation of Sub-Grid Processes Using Stochastic Dynamic Models, ECMWF, 6-8 June 2005.
PDF file
- Monahan, A.H., Low-frequency variability of the statistical moments of sea-surface winds , Geophys. Res. Lett. , 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL019599, 2004.
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Monahan, A.H.: A Simple Model for the Skewness of Global Sea-Surface Winds . J. Atmos. Sci., 61 2037-2049, 2004.
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Large-Scale Atmospheric Variability
- Digby, R.A.R., N.P. Gillett, A.H. Monahan, K. von Salzen,
A. Gkikas, Q. Song, and Z. Zhang: How well do Earth System Models
reproduce observed aerosol changes during the Spring 2020 COVID-19
lockdowns? Atmos. Chem. Phys., submitted.
link
- Liang, Y., N.P. Gillett, and A.H. Monahan:
Observationally-constrained projections of 21st century regional
warming in the Extratropical Northern Hemisphere . J. Climate
, submitted.
- Liang, Y., N.P. Gillett, and A.H. Monahan: Emergent
constraints on CMIP6 climate warming projections: Contrasting
cloud-and surface temperature-based constraints. J. Climate
, 35 , 1809-1824, 2022.
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- Digby, R., N. Gillett, A.H, Monahan, J. Cole: An observational
constraint on aviation-induced cirrus from the COVID-19-induced flight
disruption . Geophys. Res. Lett. ,
doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095882, 2022.
link
- Liang, Y., N.P. Gillett, and A.H. Monahan: Climate model
projections of 21st century global warming constrained using the
observed warming trend. , Geophys. Res. Lett. , 47
, doi:10.1029/2019GL086757, 2020.
link
- Tesdal, J.-E., J.R. Christian, A.H. Monahan, and K. von Salzen:
Sensitivity of modelled sulfate aerosol and its radiative effect on climate to ocean DMS concentration and air-sea flux .
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 10847-10864, 2016.
link
- Froyland, G., N. Santitissadeekorn, and A.H. Monahan:
Transport in time-dependent dynamical systems: Finite-time coherent
sets. Chaos , 20 , 043116, 2010.
link
- Santitissadeekorn, N., G. Froyland, and A. Monahan: Optimally
coherent sets in geophysical flows: A new approach to delimiting the
stratospheric polar vortex . Phys. Rev. E , 82 ,
056311, 2010.
link
- Monahan, A.H. and J.C. Fyfe: How Generic Are Dipolar Jet EOFs? . J. Atmos. Sci. , 66 , 541-551, 2009.
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- Monahan, A.H. and J.C. Fyfe: On Annular Modes and Zonal Jets
, J. Climate , 21, 1963-1978, 2008.
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- Teng, Q., J.C. Fyfe, and A.H. Monahan: Northern Hemisphere Circulation Regimes: Observed, Simulated, and Predicted , Clim. Dynamics , 28 867-879, 2007.
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- Monahan, A.H. and J.C. Fyfe, On the Nature of Zonal Jet EOFs
, J. Climate , 19, 6409-6424, 2006.
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Teng, Q., A.H. Monahan, and J.C. Fyfe: Effects of Time Averaging on Climate Regimes. Geophys. Res. Lett. , 31 , doi:10.1029/2004GL020840, 2004.
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Monahan, A.H., J.C. Fyfe, and L. Pandolfo: The vertical structure of wintertime climate regimes of the northern hemisphere extratropical atmosphere ,
J. Climate , 16 , 2005-2021, 2003.
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Monahan, A.H., L. Pandolfo, and J.C. Fyfe: The preferred structure of
variability of the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation , Geophys.
Res. Lett. , 28 , 1019-1022, 2001.
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Monahan, A.H., L. Pandolfo: Meridional localisation of planetary waves
in stochastic zonal flows , J. Atmos. Sci. , 58 , 808-820,
2001.
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Monahan, A.H., L. Pandolfo, and P. Imkeller: Stochastic Confinement
of Rossby Waves by Fluctuating Eastward Flows . Stochastic Climate
Models, Birkhauser, 2001.
abstract
gzipped postscript file
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Imkeller, P., A. H. Monahan, and L. Pandolfo: Some Mathematical Remarks
Concerning the Localization of Planetary Waves in a Stochastic Background
Flow . Stochastic Climate Models, Birkhauser, 2001.
abstract
gzipped postscript file
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Monahan, A.H, J. Fyfe, and G. Flato: A Regime View of Northern Hemisphere
Atmospheric Variability and Change under Global Warming, Geophys.
Res. Lett. , 27, 1139-1142, 2000.
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Stochastic Dynamics of the Meridional Overturning Circulation
- Alexander, J. and A.H. Monahan: Non-normal perturbation growth of pure thermohaline circulation using a 2-D zonally averaged model , J. Phys. Oceanogr., 39 , 369-389, 2009.
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- Monahan, A.H., J. Alexander, and A.J. Weaver: Stochastic models of the meridional overturning circulation: Timescales and patterns of variability, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. A , 366, 2527-2544, 2008.
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Monahan, A.H.: Lyapunov exponents of a simple stochastic model of the
thermally and wind-driven ocean circulation , Dyn. Atmos. Ocean.
, 35 , 363-388, 2002.
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Monahan, A.H.: Correlation effects in a simple stochastic model of the thermohaline circulation , Stochastics and Dynamics, 2, 437-462, 2002.
abstract
PDF file
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Monahan, A.H.: Stabilisation of climate regimes by noise in a simple
model of the thermohaline circulation , J. Phys. Oceanogr.,
32, 2072-2085, 2002.
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Monahan, A.H., Timmermann, A., and Lohmann, G.: Comments on ``Noise-induced
transitions in a simplified model of the thermohaline circulation'' , J.
Phys. Oceanogr. , 32, 1112-1116, 2002.
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Stochastic Modelling in Climate
- Monahan, A.H.: Spectral and bispectral densities of squared
Gaussian processes. Contemporary Mathematics, submitted.
- Gagne, D.J., H.M.Christensen, A.C. Subramanian, and A.H. Monahan:
Machine learning for stochastic parameterization: Generative
Adversarial Networks in the Lorenz '96 Model.
J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys. , 12 , e2019MS001896, 2020.
link
- Monahan, A.H.: Bispectral unfolding of the skewness of correlated
additive and multiplicative noise processes. Chaos ,
30 , 023126, 2020.
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- Lu, F., N. Weitzel, and A.H. Monahan: Joint state-parameter
estimation of a nonlinear stochastic energy balance mdoel from sparse
noisy data. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 26 , 227-250,
2019.
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- Thompson, W.F., R.A. Kuske, and A.H. Monahan: Reduced
alpha-stable dynamics for multiple time scale systems forced with
correlated and multiplicative Gaussian white noise. Chaos
, 27 , 2017.
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- Gairing, J.M., M.A. Hoegele, T. Kosenkova, and A.H. Monahan:
How close are time series to power tail Levy diffusions? .
Chaos , 27 , 2017.
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- Thompson, W.F., R.A. Kuske, and A.H. Monahan: Stochastic averaging of dynamical systems with multiple time scales forced with alpha-stable noise. Multiscale Modeling and Simulation , 13, 1194-1223, 2015.
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- Monahan, A.H. and J. Culina: Stochastic Averaging of Simple
Climate Models, J. Climate , 24 , 3068-3088, 2011.
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- Culina, J., S. Kravtsov, and A.H. Monahan: Stochastic
parameterization schemes for use in realistic climate models.
J. Atmos. Sci. 68 , 284-299, 2011.
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- Imkeller, P. and A.H. Monahan: Conceptual stochastic climate models , Stochastics and Dynamics, 2, 311-326, 2002.
abstract
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Biogeochemical Dynamics in Climate
- Franco, A.C., D. Ianson, T. Ross, R.C. Hamme, A.H. Monahan,
J.R. Christian, M. Davelaar, W.K. Johnson, L.A. Miller, M. Robert, and
P.D. Tortell: Anthropogenic and climatic contributions to observed
carbon system trends in the Northeast Pacific. Global
Biogeochem. Cycles, 35 , 2021.
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- Hayashida, H., G. Carnat, E. Devred, M. Gali, A.H. Monahan,
E. Mortenson, T. Sou, and N.S. Steiner: Spatio-temporal
variability in modelled bottom-ice and sea-surface dimethylsulfide
concentrations and fluxes in the Arctic during 1979-2015 .
Global Biogeochem. Cycles , 34 , doi:10.1029/2019GB006456, 2020.
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- Mortenson, E., N. Steiner, A. H. Monahan, H. Hayashida, T. Sou,
and A. Shao: Modelled impacts of sea ice exchange processes on
Arctic Ocean carbon uptake and acidification (1980-2015) .
JGR Oceans , 125 , doi:10.1029/2019JC015782, 2020.
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- Hayashida, H., J.R. Christian, A.M. Holdsworth, X. Hu,
A.H. Monahan, E. Mortenson, P.G. Meyers, O.G.J. Riche, T. Sou, and
N. Steiner: CSIB v1: A sea-ice biogeochemical model for the NEMO
community ocean modelling framework. Geosci. Model Dev.,
12 , 1965-1990, 2019.
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- Mortenson, E., N. Steiner, A.H. Monahan, L.A. Miller,
N.X. Geilfus, and K. Brown: A model-based analysis of physical and
biogeochemical controls of carbon exchange in the upper water column,
sea ice, and atmosphere in a seasonally ice-covered Arctic strait.
JGR Oceans , 123 , 7529-7549, 2018.
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- Mortenson, E., H. Hayashida, N. Steiner, A.H. Monahan, M. Blais,
M.A. Gale, V.Galindo, M. Gosselin, X.Hu, D. Lavoie, C.J. Mundy: A
model-based analysis of physical and biological controls on ice algae
and pelagic primary production in Resolute Passage . Elementa
, 5 , 2017.
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- Hayashida, H., N. Steiner, A.H. Monahan, V. Galindo, M. Lizotte,
and M. Levasseur: Implications of sea-ice biogeochemistry for
oceanic production and emissions of dimethylsulfide in the Arctic
. Biogeosciences , 14 , 3129-3155, 2017.
t link
- Engida, Z., D. Ianson, A.Monahan, and R. Thomson: Remore
forcing of subsurface currents and temperatures in the Northern
eCalifornia Current System. J. Geophys. Res., 121
, 7244-7262, 2016.
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- Tesdal, J.-E., J.R. Christian, A.H. Monahan, and K. von Salzen:
Evaluation of diverse approaches for estimating DMS concentration
and air-sea exchange at global scale. Environ. Chem., 13, 390-412, 2016.
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- Healey, K., A.H. Monahan, and D. Ianson: Perturbation dynamics of
a planktonic ecosystem . J. Mar. Res. , 67 637-666, 2010..
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Monahan, A.H. and K. Denman: Impacts of atmospheric variability on a coupled upper-ocean/ecosystem model of the subarctic Northeast Pacific , Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18 , doi:10.1029/2003GB002100, 2004.
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High-Latitude Climate Variability
- Gemmrich, J., T. Redhead, and A.H. Monahan: Surface wave
height distributions and rogue wave probabilities on two-layer
fluids. Phys. Rev. Fluids , submitted.
- Payne, R., J. Martin, A.H. Monahan, and M. Sigmond: Seasonal
predictions of regional and pan-Antarctic sea ice with a dynamical
forecast system . Atmos.-Ocean , submitted.
- Martin, J., M. Sigmond, and A.H. Monahan: Improved seasonal
forecast stkill of Arctic sea ice in CanSIPS version 2 .
Weather and Forecasting , submitted.
- Ruman, C.J., A.H. Monahan, and L. Sushama: Climatology of
Arctic temperature inversions in current and future climates .
Theor. Appl. Clim , 10.1007/s00704-022-04147-9, 2022.
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- Gemmrich, J. and A.H Monahan; Surface and interfacial waves
in a strongly stratified upper ocean . J. Phys. Ocean.
51 , 269-278, 2021.
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- Dirkson, A., W.J. Merryfield, and A.H. Monahan: Calibrated
probabilistic forecasts of Arctic sea ice concentration.
J. Clim , 32 , 1251-1271, 2019.
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- Mueller, B., N.P. Gillett, A.H. Monahan, and F.W. Zwiers:
Attribution of Arctic sea ice decline from 1953 to 2012 to influences
from natural, greenhouse-gas, and anthropogenic aerosol forcing.
J. Clim. , 31 , 7771-7787.
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- Dirkson, A, W.J. Merryfield, and A.H. Monahan: Impacts of sea
ice thickness initialization on seasonal Arctic sea ice
predictions. J. Climate , 30 , 1001-1017, 2017.
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- Dirkson, A., W.J. Merryfield, and A.H. Monahan: Real time
estimation of Arctic sea ice thickness through maximum covariance
analysis. Geophys. Res. Lett. , 42, 4869-4877, 2015.
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- Abraham, C., N. Steiner, A.H. Monahan, and C. Michel: Effects
of subgrid-scale snow thickness variability on radiative transfer in
sea ice. J. Geophys. Res. , 120, 5597-5614, 2015.
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- Godlovitch, D., A.H. Monahan, and G. Flato. An idealised stochastic model of sea ice thickness dynamics. Cold Reg. Sci. Tech. , in press.
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- Godlovitch, D., R. Illner, and A.H. Monahan. Smoluchowski coagulation models of sea ice thickness distribution dynamics. J. Geophys. Res. , 116 , 2011.
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- Merryfield, W.J., M.M. Holland, and A.H. Monahan: Multiple Equilibria and Abrupt Transitions in Arctic Summer Sea Ice Extent. AGU Monograph, "Arctic Sea Ice Decline", pp. 151-174, 2008.
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- Kuhlbrodt, T. and A.H. Monahan: Stochastic stability of open-ocean deep convection, Journal of Physical Oceanography,
33 , 2764-2780, 2003.
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Low-Latitude Climate Variability
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Monahan, A.H. and A. Dai, The spatial and temporal structure of ENSO nonlinearity . J. Climate, 17 3026-3036, 2004.
link
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Monahan, A.H.: Nonlinear principal component analysis: Tropical Indo-Pacific
sea surface temperature and sea level pressure, J. Climate ,
14 , 219-233, 2001.
link
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Tang, B, Hsieh, W.W., Monahan A.H., and Tangang, F.T. : Skill comparisons
between neural networks and canonical correlation analysis in predicting
the Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures. J. Climate ,
13 , 287-293, 2000.
link
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Tangang, F.T., B. Tang, A.H. Monahan, W.W. Hsieh: Forecasting ENSO events:
a neural network approach. J. Climate , 11 , 29-41, 1998.
link
Multivariate Statistics in Climate Diagnostics
- Annau, N., A.J. Cannon, and A.H. Monahan: Algorithmic
hallucinations of near-surface winds: Statistical downscaling with
generative adversarial networks to convection permitting scales.
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems , submitted.
arXiv link
- Krock, M., A.H. Monahan, and M.L. Stein: Tail dependence as a
measure of teleconnected warm
and cold extremes of North American wintertime temperatures .
J. Clim. , in press.
- Krock, M., J. Bessac, M.L. Stein, and A.H. Monahan:
Nonstationary seasonal model for daily mean temperature distribution
bridging bulk and tails . Weather and Climate Extremes ,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100438, 2022.
link
- Huang, W., A.H. Monahan, and F.W.Zwiers: Estimating
concurrent climate extremes: A conditional approach. Weather
and Climate Extremes , 33 , 100332, 2021.
link
- Monahan, A.H., J.C. Fyfe, M.H.P. Ambaum, D. Stephenson, and G.R. North: Empirical orthogonal functions: The medium is the message , J. Climate , 22 , 6501-6514, 2009.
link
- Monahan, A.H. and T. DelSole: Information theoretic measures of dependence, compactness, and non-Gaussianity for multivariate probability distributions, Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., 16 , 57-64, 2009.
link
- Monahan, A.H. and J.C. Fyfe: Comment on "The shortcomings of nonlinear principal
component analysis in identifying circulation regimes", J. Climate , 20 , 374-377, 2007.
link
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Monahan, A.H.: Nonlinear principal component analysis of climate data
. PhD Thesis, University of British Columbia, 159 pp, 2000.
abstract
gzipped postscript file
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Monahan, A.H.: Nonlinear principal component analysis by neural networks:
Theory and application to the Lorenz system , J. Climate , 13
, 821-835, 2000.
link
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Monahan, A.H., F.T. Tangang, and W.W. Hsieh: A potential problem with
extended EOF analysis of standing wave fields. Atmosphere-Ocean
, 37 , 241-254, 1999.
link
Other topics
- Monahan, A.H.: The mathematics of climate modelling.
Pi in the Sky, 14, 17-21, 2010.
link
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Monahan, A.H., M. McMillan: Faddeev equations for a relativistic two-
and three- body system. Phys. Rev. A , 58 , 4226-4228,
1998.
link
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Monahan, A.H., M. McMillan: Lorentz Boost of the Newton-Wigner-Pryce
Position Operator. Phys. Rev. A. , 56 , 2563-2566, 1997.
link
If there's a problem with any of the above documents, please contact monahana at uvic.ca.
This page was last updated on April 13 2023.